Citation
Dworkin, Larry (2007). Mountains and Seas of People: A Simple “New Economic Geography”-Based Simulation of Chinese Migration Trends.Abstract
Ever since 1979, China has been in the process of implementing a huge number of reforms, particularly economic and social. A major consequence of these changes has been an explosion in the inter-regional migration rate, specifically the number of Chinese migrating from the rural areas to cities. In this paper, I use a simple new economic geography simulation to predict the effect of some recent demographic and political changes on the migration rate, and suggest a number of policy changes that Chinese city administrators might take in response. I conclude with a discussion of avenues of future research in these simulations, particularly in areas that could improve these simulations and their predictions.